by Rod Williams, Feb. 14, 2026- I am convinced that Donald Trump intends to steal the midterms. In an essay I wrote recently, I laid out five ways in which I believe Donald Trump would try to do so. You can read that essay, "
It is Happening: Trump Says Republicans Should ‘Take Over’ Voting ‘In At Least 15 Places,’" at this
link.
The December issue of The Atlantic, which I am just now getting around to reading, has an article by David A. Graham entitled The Coming Election Mayhem, The article lays out a plausible and detailed plan for how Trump could steal the election. The article was written in Oct. 28, 2025. We are further along the path Graham lays out now than we were when he wrote the article.
The lengthy article is well worth reading and I am reposting portions of it here. It is behind a paywall and one may not access the complete article and I usually try to respect fair use policies so I will not repost the complete article, but If you can access it, it is worth reading.
While I am almost certain that Trump will try to steal the election, I do not think it is necessarily destined to succeed. Our institutions are still strong, and we are still a nation of laws. For it not to succeed, people need to stand up and not be intimidated. Companies, Universities, local governments, civil society, and journalists need to be bold and fearless in standing up to Trump. There needs to be an army of lawyers ready to take Trump to court and seek injunctions. And, Democrats need to win the midterm by a margin so big that the election is too big to steal.
Midterms almost always favor the party out of power, and Republicans are facing a strong headwind and are likely to lose the midterm unless Democrats screw this up. The worst thing Democrats could do facilitate Trump's plan to steal the election is to nominate woke left-wing nut jobs like they did in the recent Tennessee 7th Congressional election. To win too big to steal, Democrats need to vote in the primaries and nominate candidates who don't repulse normal people.
Here are portions of the article:
The Coming Election Mayhem
by David A. Graham, The Atlantic, Oct. 28, 2025 - Imagine for a moment that it’s late on Election Day, November 3, 2026. Republicans have kept their majority in the Senate, but too many House races are still uncalled to tell who has won that chamber. Control seems like it will come down to two districts in Maricopa County, Arizona. ICE agents and National Guardsmen have been deployed there since that summer, ostensibly in response to criminal immigrants, though crime has been dropping for several years. The county is almost one-third Hispanic or Latino. Voting-rights advocates say the armed presence has depressed turnout, but nonetheless, the races are close. By that evening, the Republican candidates have small leads, but thousands of mail and provisional ballots remain uncounted.
Donald Trump calls the press into the Oval Office and announces that the GOP has held the House—but he warns that Democrats will try to steal the election, and announces plans to send a legal team to Arizona to root out fraud. He spends the rest of the night posting threats and allegations on Truth Social. In the morning, Republican lawyers file to stop vote counting, arguing that any votes counted after Election Day are illegal under federal law. Attorney General Pam Bondi sends a letter to Adrian Fontes, Arizona’s Democratic secretary of state, and the county board of supervisors, instructing them to retain all documents and warning that the Department of Justice may intervene if it suspects anything untoward. On X, FBI Director Kash Patel reposts false rumors about fraud and announces plans to lead a group of agents to Phoenix. Meanwhile, Democratic candidates have pulled ahead in both races by Wednesday afternoon, but the margin is just 143 votes in the Eighth District, with many votes still not tallied.
By now, conservative outlets are running wall-to-wall coverage alleging fraud, offering tales of immigrants being bused to voting locations and accusing Democrats of treason. MAGA has learned its lesson since 2020, and Rudy Giuliani and Sidney Powell are nowhere near the cameras. Instead, administration officials like Bondi are the face of the allegations on TV. Behind the scenes, Trump is making phone calls. He’s unable to reach any county supervisors, whose lawyers have warned them not to speak with him, but he gets through to the county recorder, a MAGA loyalist elected as part of the backlash to the 2020 election. No one knows quite what is said—the call isn’t taped—but when Trump hangs up, he posts that the county has agreed to hand over control of voting machines to the Department of Homeland Security.
Fontes and the board of supervisors rush to court to block the move, and a judge quickly grants an injunction. But Trump declares a national emergency that he says supersedes the order; helicopters are en route from a Marine air base in Yuma to take control of the voting machines. By the time Supreme Court Justice Elena Kagan, who is assigned to hear emergency matters from Arizona, issues an order blocking this, Marines have already commandeered ballots and machines. Patel, having just arrived in Phoenix, holds a press conference and announces, without providing evidence, that votes have been tampered with. He proclaims the Republican candidates the winners.
Despite Marines on the street, small but fierce protests erupt in Phoenix and elsewhere; Trump uses them as a pretext to invoke the Insurrection Act and announces “martial law in Democrat-run cities.” Who actually won the election can never be determined—the Marines and Patel have broken the chain of custody, as well as some of the machines themselves—but the state names the two Democrats as winners. House Republicans reject Arizona’s certification and instead seat the GOP candidates. Trump’s allies keep the House in a profoundly illegitimate election rejected by many Americans.
This is just one possible scenario. Is it too pessimistic? Perhaps. But at this stage of the election cycle in 2019, no one expected a crowd of Trump supporters to storm the U.S. Capitol on January 6, 2021. No one expected the president himself to explicitly lend his support to their efforts to “Stop the Steal.” Certainly no one expected that there would be calls to hang the vice president for his refusal to subvert the democratic process. If anything, when it comes to 2026, I worry more about the limits of my imagination than about the hazards of speculation.
..... I. Laying the Groundwork ... II. Changing the Rules ...
III. Election Day ... The administration could try to get around the ban on troops at polling places in a few ways. Cleta Mitchell, a conservative lawyer who was involved in “Stop the Steal” efforts in 2020 and remains influential in the White House, suggested in September that Trump could use emergency powers. “The chief executive is limited in his role with regard to elections, except where there is a threat to the national sovereignty of the United States,” she said on a conservative talk show. “I think maybe the president is thinking that he will exercise some emergency powers to protect the federal elections going forward.” Trump might allege foreign interference in the elections ... One possibility is that he could invoke the Insurrection Act, as he has repeatedly threatened to do, by claiming it is necessary to enforce federal law or protect voters’ constitutional rights. ...
IV. After Election Day ... As soon as the polls close, Trump and other Republicans will try to stop the counting of votes. ... If all of that fails, Republicans could attempt to refuse to seat Democrats who are elected.
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