Tuesday, January 20, 2015

Was 2014 the warmest year on record? NASA scientist are 38% sure that it was.

You probably saw the news reports last week that said 2014 was the warmest year on record. The USA Today section of The Tennessean said, '"Humans are literally cooking their planet," said Jonathan Overpeck, an atmospheric scientist from the University of Arizona."

"The global temperature from 2014 broke the previous record warmest years of 2005 and 2010 since record-keeping began in 1880," the article went on to report.

I didn't doubt it. I had no reason to doubt it.  I had heard that there had been no global warming in the last ten years but assumed that must be incorrect. Well, now we learn that the NASA climate scientists who claimed 2014 set a new record for global warmth, have now admitted they were only 38 per cent sure this was true. (link) The warmest year on record may be 2005, which if that is the case, there has been no global warming in the last nine years. 

When proponents of global warming theory speak with such certitude and exaggerated alarm and then are forced to reveal that the margin of error is such that they are only 38% confident of their conclusion, which means it is not even a good guess, then that breeds global warming skepticism. I feel like I was lied to.


 

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