Nashville now has a proposal for a plan for mass transit. The nMotion plan has been in the works for a long time and is now in. It is a $6 Billion Plan (that's billion with a "b", $6,000,000,000 or 6 thousand million). It will build the transit system of the past for the Nashville of the future. For more on the plan read The Tennessean's
The $6B plan.
An Alternative plan for Transit
I have an alternative view of transit. I want to see Nashville develop a
system of mass transit that uses the private sector to the largest extend
possible. I
would like to see us transition from a public mass transit system to a private
mass transit system. I would like to
see us do things never done before. We
should break new ground. We should be known as the city with a great
transportation system primarily dependent on the private sector to provide the
service. We should privatize mass
transit.
By
“privatized” I mean both fully privatized non-governmental transit, and
public-private-partnership and out-sourcing, private companies hired by government to provide
transit services. As an example, Uber is a fully private operation with
no government subsidy and minimal regulation. Airport-hotel express bus service is private form of mass transit. A private-public partnership may
be that a company builds a light rail line and operates it, say from the
airport to downtown, and we lease the rail line for 75 years. Some turnpikes are built like this. Hiring a private firm to provide a service is
the way the state often houses prisoners and the way we pick up most of the
city’s garbage and the way we provide janitorial and grounds services for our
schools.
Seek a unique solution:
If I were mayor I would seek out consultants who have experience in successful
cost effective mass transit relying on private providers. If we cannot find a consultant with a track
record of doing this, we could do it ourselves.
I would call Uber, Lyft, Sidecar, Grayline, Megabus, and others
to the table and ask for RFP’s for moving masses of people efficiently. These app-dispatched type companies like Uber and Lyft are relatively new.
They have made lots of money and have lots of money to invest and they
may be looking for opportunities to grow.
Brainstorm with them. Invite them to help us solve our transit problem.
Look at Megabus:
For $10 one can go from Nashville to Atlanta on a Megabus. Would Megabus
want to take over a Nashville Express bus services? Or, maybe Grayline?
Remove prohibition against private
companies competing with the MTA. At this time probably no company would want to provide a purely private
bus service but we should remove the impediment if one did want to. We
should change the environment to one that welcomes private solutions, competition and innovation instead of a
climate that penalizes private solutions.
Remove the requirement for a 'certificate of necessity' before one can operate more cabs or start new cab
companies. The only logic for restricting supply of
taxis is to protect those already in business from competition. Taxis are not
mass transit, but they complement mass transit.
For one thing, they get people out of their private car and once one has
become accustomed to not driving their private car, then other forms of
transportation may also become more attractive.
Also, if one takes a bus from Murfreesboro to downtown, often one must still
get somewhere else. Taxis can take
you the few blocks or miles from the end of the bus line to where you need to
be. Also, taxis do not need to park
downtown for 8 hours at a stretch and if we had more taxis in use there would
be less demand for more parking.
Look at how we pick up garbage: I was in the Metro Council when we changed the way we pick up
garbage. The city picked all up of it, it was a more labor intensive process
and garbage cans were manually lifted instead of mechanically lifted and
service was twice a week instead of once a week. We transitioned to a once-a-week,
mechanical-lift, uniform-garbage-can system. Metro still designs the routes and supervises
quality but most garbage is now picked up by private companies. This has saved metro a lot of money. Garbage workers were some of the lowest paid
employees in the city but disability claims and retirement was very expensive. Metro
employees and the public resisted the transition to private companies
collecting the garbage but the transition to the current system happened and it
has worked well. During the
transition, Metro public works “competed” with private companies. The cost of metro
picking up garbage was established counting all cost in order to measure and
compare the deal we were getting from private firms. If Metro could “bid” lower on a route than a
private company, Metro continued the route.
Eventfully, private companies took over most to the routes. The
city simply could not pick up garbage as cheap as a private company.
My Thai observation #1: It
doesn’t matter the color of the bus.
I did not know what I was observing at the time but as a young man I
spent 15 months in Thailand. I was in the Air Force and I lived off base and
enjoyed my experience. I learned how to
take the local buses and get around. I
noticed that on a bus route that I used, I sometimes caught a brown bus and
sometimes a green bus, but the bus followed the same route and regular schedule
regardless of the color of the bus. It
was only years later when doing some research on transportation that I realized
that the local government set the routes and allowed private companies to bid
on the routes. On the same route, one time the bus may be one owned by one
company but the next bus may be a bus owned by another company.
My Thai observation #2: It is not a taxi and it is not a bus. Often instead of catching a bus, I
would catch another type service. In
Thailand, they were often mini- pickup trucks that had a top but open sides
with benches facing each other on each side of the truck bed. Later I realized this type service is called
a “jitney” and operates in many countries, but we do not have it in
America. It is a service that operates
on a relatively fixed route but can deviate a block or two off the route to
drop someone off at their home or place of work. With modern phone apps and almost everyone
having a smart phone, I think an Americanized version of jitney service could
work in Nashville. Obviously, Instead of
pick-up trucks however I would envision vans or very small busses.
The Nashville Star has been a failure and not a model to follow. This 30-mile line
starting in Lebanon was projected to move 750 per day but on average it only
moves 550 people a day. The fare box
only covers only 15% of the cost of a trip on the train. With an operating budget of $5.1 million,
that is not a sustainable model. Also it
gets very few cars off the road. If 550
people a day are taking the train, some of those would be riding with a spouse,
or car pooling or riding a bus or not working downtown. So if we consider 75%
of those riding the train would be driving a car that is only 413 cars taken
off the road in that 30 mile stretch of I-40 or Lebanon Pike. That is an insignificant number.
We do not need to widen roads. There may be bottle necks that could
be improved, but widening roads is like solving a weight problem by buying a
bigger belt. Sitting in traffic is one
of the “cost” that will result in people being willing to use mass transit and
also influence people’s decision about where they live and work.
Not everyone minds their long
commute. People like
to talk about their horrible commute, but some
people are accustomed to it and value the independence of their car and do not
want to ride mass transit. I think I would
hate it myself, but some people have told me the ride home gives them time to
unwind. They do not find it nerve wracking. They want to listen to their music
or choice of talk show or sports and do not want to share that choice and they
want to stop off at the grocery store on the way home. Don’t assume people want to give up their
car. We are not now
maximizing the use
of vanpools and car pools and the express bus services. If we are not
now maximizing alternative options, they why should we assume other
options would get people to give up their car? There may not be as
much demand for mass transit as some assume. Equal to the challenge of
how we
move people is selling people on the idea of using mass transit. Don’t assume that if we build it, they will
use it.
Not every bus has to be the same.
Some millennial and young professionals may want luxury seats and Wi-Fi
and a smooth ride. Recent immigrants living out Nolensville Rd may be happy
with a school-type bus and lower priced service and greater frequency of service may be more
important than a luxury ride. Let entrepreneurs have a chance to provide
different models and see what works. What works on one route may not be the same as what works on another route.
Mass transit and planning for
development should coincide. I have traveled
quite a bit in Europe and in some other countries. A visitor to Europe may
think the walled cities with big cathedrals and cobble stone streets are
quaint and that everyone lives like that. If you take a train from one city to
another in many of these countries, however, you will find that much of the
population live clustered around railway stops at different points along the route. One may pass through miles of sparse development
or pasture and farmland and then come to a railway stop and there will be a population
center with multi story apartment buildings around the train stop. Should we build a light rail line or develop
a Bus Rapid Transit route down Nolensville Road or some other major corridor, then
land use planning should allow high rise, high density development of apartments
clustered around the transit stop.
We need greater density to make mass
transit successful. We should discourage rezoning of neighborhoods to
single-family-only, should encourage zoning that allows auxiliary living units
on residential properties (mother-in-law apartments) and increase density along
major corridors, at mass transit hubs, or major transit stops.
This would also increase the supply of affordable housing.
Express bus service is a “public
good. “ It is a
given that getting more people to take buses from Murfreesboro to Nashville, or
Gallatin or Clarksville to Nashville is a public good. When someone takes the bus it makes the road
less congested for the rest of us. It
reduces the demand for widening roads, reduces commute times for other drivers
and cuts pollution by reducing idling cars.
It reduces poverty by making it possible for low-skilled workers to get
to jobs, it increases disposable income and spurs economic growth by allowing
people to spend more of their money on other goods rather than transportation. Yet ridership is low. (I do not know the
number, but know it is low. We need the numbers in order to say: “X number of people commute from Murfressboro
to Nashville everyday, yet only X percent takes the express bus service.”)
Regional transportation is also a
State public good. Metro
should not pay the lion’s share for regional transportation. The more people
who take the Murfreesboro to Nashville bus, the more it helps the State, since
it reduces traffic on the interstate highway. We need regional support and
state financial support for efforts to increase mass transit. Our Nashville legislative delegation should
advocate for regional transit to get TDOT support for every vehicle that is
taken off a state road due to someone using mass transit.
Express Bus service is a bargain.
One can take a bus from Murfreesboro t o Nashville for $4 for one trip or
20 trips for $70. That is only $7.50 a day!
To park at the 701 Church Street garage is $5 for
one hour, $8 two hours, and a $13 daily maximum if one can find a place to
park. So to take the bus for a month is
$7.50 x 20 days= $150 a month; to take a car is $150 parking (assume one leases
a space by the month), gas $200 (assume a tank a week at $50 x4= 200)
maintenance and oil changes assume $50 a month, and assume the wearing out of a
car used mostly for work $400 a month. (Assume a $20,000 car for 5 years plus
interest). So the cost of taking the bus
is $150 a month and the cost of driving is $800.
So, how do we get more
people to take the bus? Assuming it is a pubic good and we want more people to take
the bus, and it is a bargain, why won’t people take the bus? It could be that
it is inconvenient to be at the bus stop on time, one may want to stay in town
to have dinner, one may have to pick up the kids or stop at the grocery store and the
bus does not take you to the door of your business. Other people may not take the bus because they
just love their car, and you would have to pay them to take the bus. However, many
people do not know of the option of express bus service or have never even considered it. One
thing government does not do well is advertise its services and most of the
time with good reason. Most government
services do not have to be advertised because people have to have them, want
them or not. Other services are
government monopoly and people have no choice of provider. For other
services, if more people use the service such as libraries or parks we will have to build more
libraries or parks. However, getting people out of their cars can save money
and solve a problem. We need to “sell” people on using the bus. We need billboards and ads touting the benefit of taking an express bus service. Any RFP for a private company to take over an
express line should include a proposal for advertising and increasing ridership
and perhaps provide an incentive for increasing ridership. Even if we do not privatize the line, we still need
to advertise.
Use Technology,
synchronize lights, and build roundabouts and pedestrian passageways: My favorite bad example
of uselessly sitting at a traffic light is Craighead and Bransford. The light takes forever to change with
traffic going neither direction. Often I have been tempted to run the red light. This
would be a great place to build a roundabout or turn the light to flashing red
and flashing yellow after 8PM unless there is a function at the
Fairgrounds. I am sure this is only one
of a thousand examples in town. I have traveled in Europe and I know
roundabouts take some getting used to but they are safe and keep traffic
moving. Also, by reducing idle time, they improve air quality and reduce air pollution. All lights should be automated
to be timed to move traffic most efficiently.
On super busy roadways with pedestrian traffic, we should construct pedestrian
bridges or tunnels. This will increase
safety of pedestrians and reduce the light timing necessary for pedestrians to
cross the road. This would not be
something for downtown where we want to encourage pedestrian traffic and slow
traffic, but I am sure there are some areas where this would be beneficial, such
in Greenhills. I have seen these used European cities. It works.
Make the city more
walkable by
stopping building sidewalks stupidly. Stop tearing up an replacing very serviceable sidewalks and instead build new sidewalks. Require new developments to have a
“pedestrian plan,” just as they must now have a traffic plan, a lighting plan and a
storm water plan. I have examples of poor planning and building sidewalks
stupidly that I could show you. It seems
as if some streets were designed to ensure people never walk.
Most people do not work downtown.
A lot of people do, but I have never worked downtown. If we moved masses of people from
Murfreesboro to downtown, then how we would they get them to their jobs which
are scattered throughout the city and the region? Before we focus on a massive investment of a
Murfreesboro to Nashville route or similar routes we need to figure out how to
get people where they want to go once they get downtown. Private paratransit could help accomplish
this.
We must realize that it is difficult to retrofit a city build mostly
after the advent of the car to accommodate mass transit. Cities with really good mass transit are
cities like New York, San Francisco, Chicago, Philadelphia and Boston. These are all cities that had large
populations and were built prior to the advent of the automobile. We should not over promise on mass transit.
Atlanta has a large rail system but its job centers are not clustered, making
that rail system less useful.
Realize the future may be
here before you know it and needs may change. It was not that many
years ago that everyone did not have a smart cell phone. That technology has
changed much of how we live from how we find places, connect with people, and
decide the routes we take. The demand on our roads and use of one’s
own car may decrease. More people may work from home. UPS, Federal
Express, pizza delivery and running to another office to deliver a set
of document may
be done mostly by drones in five to ten years. To go somewhere, you may click an app on your
phone (or key bob type device or whatever) and a driverless pod rushes to your
house and takes you where you want to go. We will still need roadways but some
problems may take care of themselves and it is difficult to plan for a future
75 years down the road when technology we have not even dreamed of yet, may
appear at any time.
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