Press release, NASHVILLE, May 8, 2018— The Small Business Optimism
Index sustained record-high levels increasing to 104.8 in April, driven
by reports of improved profits, the highest in the NFIB Small Business
Economic Trends Survey’s 45-year history. Additionally, the number of
small businesses reporting poor sales fell to a near record low. April
is the 17th consecutive month of historically high readings, according
to the survey that was released today.
“Never in the history of this survey have we seen profit trends so high,” said NFIB President and CEO Juanita Duggan.
“The optimism small businesses owners have about the economy is turning
into new job creation, increased wages and benefits, and investment.”
State-specific data is unavailable, but NFIB State Director Jim Brown
said, “Our members are telling us that they're investing in new
equipment and hiring additional workers. They wouldn't do that if they
weren't optimistic about the direction of the economy.”
The frequency of positive profit trends went up three points in April
due to gains in operating productivity and stronger sales as well as the
newly implemented tax law.
Reports of capital outlays rose three points this month to 61 percent,
indicating that small businesses are confident and strong enough to make
investments. Of those businesses making expenditures, 43 percent are
spending on new equipment (up four points), while 27 percent are
acquiring vehicles (up three points).
In addition, more small businesses are planning capital outlays in the
next few months, increasing three points to 29 percent. As the
difficulty of finding qualified workers continues to be a major obstacle
for small businesses, with 22 percent citing it as their single most
important business problem (up one point), more of this planned spending
is expected to go toward training and labor-saving technology.
“There is no question that small business is booming,” said NFIB Chief Economist Bill Dunkelberg.
“Consumer spending, the new tax law, and lower regulatory barriers are
all supporting the surge in optimism across all small business industry
sectors.”
Small businesses are also confident in future sales growth, with a net
21 percent of owners expecting higher sales volumes (up one point).
These numbers are particularly high in the construction and
manufacturing industries.
As reported in Thursday’s NFIB jobs report, the share of small business
owners who are hiring or trying to hire rose four points to 57 percent,
and new job creation remains at historically strong levels, with a net
16 percent of owners planning to create new jobs. Significantly more new
businesses are opening than closing, providing a major boost to new
employment.
Worker compensation remains at the highest level since 2000, with net 33
percent reporting increasing compensation. The average family saw wages
and salaries grow last year. Gains are likely to increase for many
families this year due to tax cuts.
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