Press release, NASHVILLE, June 12, 2018 —The NFIB Small Business Optimism Index increased in May to the second highest level in the survey’s
45-year history. The index rose to 107.8, a three-point gain, with
small businesses reporting high numbers in several key areas including
compensation, profits, and sales trends.
State-specific data is unavailable, but NFIB Tennessee State Director Jim Brown
said Tennessee businesses are benefiting from operating in a state with
a friendly regulatory climate. “The Tennessee General Assembly
continues to ease the regulatory burden on small businesses, which is
contributing to exceptional job creation and strong confidence,” he
said. “Small business appreciates predictability, low taxes, and less
red tape.”
Nationally,
“Main Street optimism is on a stratospheric trajectory thanks to recent
tax cuts and regulatory changes. For years, owners have continuously
signaled that when taxes and regulations ease, earnings and employee
compensation increase,” said NFIB President and CEO Juanita Duggan.
The May report hit several records:
Compensation
increases hit a 45-year high at a record net 35 percent. Positive
earnings trends reached a survey high at a net three percent. Positive
sales trends are at the highest level since 1995. Expansion plans are the most robust in survey history.
In
another interesting marker, a net 19 percent of small business owners
are planning price increases, the highest since 2008 and a signal of a
strong economy. A net three percent reported positive profit trends, up
four points and the best reading in the survey’s history. In addition, a
net 15 percent reported higher nominal sales in the past three months, up an astonishing seven points and the sixth consecutive strong month for sales.
“Small
business owners are continuing an 18-month streak of unprecedented
optimism which is leading to more hiring and raising wages,” said NFIB
Chief Economist Bill Dunkelberg. “While they continue to face challenges
in hiring qualified workers, they now have more resources to commit to
attracting candidates.”
Small
business owners continue to hire with a seasonally-adjusted net 18
percent planning to create new jobs. Twenty-nine percent of owners have
job openings for skilled workers, the third highest reading since 2000.
Twelve percent have job openings for unskilled workers, with the
strongest demand in the transportation, travel, communications, and utilities sector. To compete in the job market, 35 percent of owners reported increases in labor compensation to attract job applicants.
The
percentage of owners reporting capital outlays moved up one point to 62
percent, with 47 percent reporting spending on new equipment, 24
percent acquiring vehicles, and 16 percent improving expanded
facilities. Thirty percent plan capital outlays in the next few months.
Access
to credit continues as a non-issue with 37 percent of owners reporting
all credit needs were satisfied and 43 percent saying they were not
interested in a loan, down seven points from last month and the lowest
reading since 2007. Only one percent reported that financing was their
top business problem. Owners planning to build inventories rose three
points to a net four percent, the nineteenth positive reading in the
past 20 months.
As reported in NFIB’s May jobs report, 23 percent of owners cited the difficulty of finding qualified workers as their Single Most Important Business Problem,
followed by taxes at 17 percent and regulations at 13 percent.
Fifty-eight percent reported hiring or trying to hire, up one point from
last month but 83 percent of those reported few or no qualified
workers.
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